March 8, 2004
Via Kevin Drum, here's Stephen Unwin's expert assessment of the odds on God's existence. He uses the Bayes Theorem to incorporate historical events and observations about the world, and ends up at 2:1 for God. I wonder: does this mean we're going to see a new field of theological-economy? A little rational, self-interested calculation and we all have to start believing: multiply Mr Unwin's proportion by eternal damnation and you come up with a pretty awe-inspiring expected value...
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