The imprevidibility of the future  

Dan Johnson-Weinberger calls the election for Kerry, and barring any transformative events I think he's right: at this late hour, the middle can only break for the challenger. The electoral vote is looking especially promising right now for Kerry, even though most national polls are about even. Which raises the fun possibility that Kerry could lose the popular vote and still become president... wouldn't that be appropriate! (UPDATE: Not surprisingly, others are talking about this too.)

A question for Dan: what to make of Colorado's ballot initiative?