November 28, 2007
Apparently some papers from the Nixon administration have been released, and they shed some new light on our relationship with Israel during that time. It reminds me of this fascinating piece on US posture toward Israel at the time of the Yom Kippur War (a few years after the memo described in the Times article).
I don't know if it sheds that much new light on things. That meeting between Nixon and Meir ended up with them establishing a policy that was more or less "don't ask, don't tell" when it came to Israeli nukes. The fact that Kissinger discussed various aspects of the situation with Nixon makes for some interesting reading, but none of it's very surprising.
I always thought it was a little weird that Israel never declared its nukes. The obvious reason they didn't do so is that they might have run into major trouble regarding non-proliferation, but the "ambiguity" obviously goes against classic theories of deterrence. As anyone who's seen Dr. Strangelove knows, it doesn't do you any good to have a Doomsday machine if nobody knows you've got it, and in fact it only makes global destruction more likely. Nevertheless, the policy has worked out OK for Israel, as various Arab leaders who launched attacks against them since the late '60s (Sadat, Assad, Saddam) appear to have known that Israel had nukes, and widespread fears of a nuclear arms race in the Middle East have yet to pan out (though Iran might change that relatively soon).
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