October 11, 2008

One of those unforeseeable external events  

We've really been overwhelmed with graphs over the past month, both graphs of the market's performance and graphs of the candidates' performance, but this is the first one I've seen that puts the two together. The correlation between McCain's polling numbers and the S&P 500 index is pretty striking. Arjun Modi (a high school senior inspired by the West Wing!) puts it at .77 and calls the financial crisis a black swan.

Comments
Jonathan Versen  {October 12, 2008}

hey Paul, what's up?

I suppose while we're on the subjext of pol approval ratings and sundry metrics, how about a graph of the relationship between oil prices and GWB's approval ratings? I haven't seen one, but I suspect there's a significant correlation going on there...

paul  {October 12, 2008}

i would guess so, but i think that's a little less startling because it would surely be true of any sitting president. this effect, presumably, wouldn't apply to any gop candidate.


Post a comment










Remember personal
information?